ilmscore | Interest Rate Policy Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 21
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 16
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
While the speaker is unsure if interest rates will reach 1%, they believe lower interest rates are probable.
"President Trump says he wants to see 1% interest rates. Is that going to happen? I don't know. But I..."
Dec 27, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates in 2025, with expectations of further cuts in 2026.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has begun cutting interest rates in 2025. And there's been a lot of rumors ..."
Nov 4, 2025
Correct
Goldman Sachs anticipates interest rate cuts in October and December 2025.
"Goldman Sachs is aligned with the market, penciling in cuts for October and December."
Sep 18, 2025
Pending
The Fed's September dot plot projected two more 25 basis point rate cuts before the end of 2025.
"the Fed's dot plot was crystal clear. The median projection showed two more 25 basis point cuts are ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Bank of America predicts the Fed will not cut interest rates again until 2026.
"Bank of America has warned that the Fed may not cut again until 2026"
Sep 18, 2025
Correct
Market sentiment, via CME Fed Watch tool, indicates a >70% probability of interest rate cuts in both October and December 2025.
"According to the CME Group's Fed Watch tool, which measures market-based probabilities, traders are ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
There's a contrasting approach between banks tightening lending and the Federal Reserve considering lowering interest rates to ease lending.
"On one hand, banks are tightening up their lending policies, but on the other hand, the Federal Rese..."
Sep 1, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is projected to cut interest rates only twice in 2025.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has said right now that they're planning on only cutting interest rates twi..."
Jan 14, 2025
Pending
Rising inflation could lead to a halt in interest rate cuts.
"if inflation increases one more very important point which is rate Cuts we may see a halt in rate Cu..."
Jan 13, 2025
Pending
There's a potential conflict in 2025 as Trump desires lower interest rates, while Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicates they are not planning aggressive rate cuts due to persistent inflation.
"Trump has been advocating for lower interest rates in the economy but the interesting part about the..."
Dec 30, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve has indicated they will cut interest rates again soon.
"they've essentially confirmed that they're going to be cutting interest rates again."
Dec 7, 2024
Pending
There may be fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 than previously anticipated.
"maybe this means that we're going to see less interest rate cuts come in 2025"
Dec 7, 2024
Pending
Jerome Powell is hinting at fewer interest rate cuts in 2025, contrasting with President-elect Trump's desire for more aggressive cuts, suggesting potential conflict between the Fed and the incoming administration.
"We are going to see less interest rate cuts come in 2025, which of course is very interesting as wel..."
Dec 7, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates as aggressively in the coming year.
"Jerome Powell is kind of hinting that maybe we won't be cutting interest rates as aggressively next ..."
Dec 7, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is expected to lower interest rates.
"The Federal Reserve Bank is preparing to cut interest rates."
Sep 6, 2024
Pending
Former US Treasury Secretary suggests considering the possibility of future interest rate hikes rather than cuts.
"you have to take seriously the possibility that the next interest rate move will be upwards rather t..."
May 6, 2024
Pending
Interest rates are expected to fall in 2024, with a slight decrease already observed in mortgage rates.
"we're going to see interest rates fall in 2024 we've already seen mortgage rates fall a little bit"
Feb 20, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is considering cutting interest rates multiple times in 2024.
"they're thinking about cutting interest rates a few times in 2024"
Feb 20, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to historic lows to encourage spending.
"the Federal Reserve Bank cut interest rates to their lowest levels ever to stimulate spending"
Jan 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve began cutting interest rates in 2019 to stimulate the economy.
"it wasn't until the end of the 201s that we saw interest rates begin to finally start to see some re..."
Jan 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will begin lowering interest rates once core inflation approaches the 2% target rate.
"the Federal Reserve will only start to lower interest rates when that core inflation index number re..."
Jul 22, 2023
Pending